Friday 8 April 2011

The SAS Trader : Screwed - by myself!!!

Hello and welcome to this week’s ‘real’ adventures in the Forex Jungle. The last three months have been an exercise in patience. I had been trialling a forex system that previous to Christmas 2010 had given me a little success, but as Christmas was knocking on the door I had to take the money I had made out of the trading account.

Being out of work, having no income to speak of, I had no choice but to be patient. I thought I would trial the system further, just to make sure that the decent run I’d had previously with it wasn’t just luck.
I set up a virtual account with a spread betting firm. As usual the account was set up with £10’000. However, there was no way that I would get near a ‘real’ starting bank with them figures, so I moved the decimal point a few places, and made out that my starting figure would be a more realistic £100.

The trial period went really well, better than I expected, and the virtual account ended March on £925. Now I’m realistic enough to know that in reality I wouldn’t have made that much. The charts on demo accounts are on totally different feeds for one. Plus I made trades that I would probably have not made had I been on a live account. Taking that into account, I reckon I would still have pulled in between £6/700. That is not a bad return in 9/10 weeks from a start of £100.

So then – we move onto this week and the start of real live trading. I had furnished my spread betting account with £100, which had taken me 3 months to save! It couldn’t have got off to a worse start. Basically, the last week in March, the market seemed to head off on a tangent, as it can do, and it started this week in the same vein. Basically I was down to £32.00 by end of play Tuesday.

On Wednesday, I hit a really good streak, getting the account back up to £115 at one point, but finishing the day on £78. The market seemed to have stabilised, and the system was once again picking up winning trades.

By close of business on Thursday, I was busted! So what went wrong? All the components were in place. The system still picked up winning trades. There were no technical issues with the trading platform I use, and the PC wasn’t playing up. After spending a couple of hours analysing the previous 4 days, I came to the conclusion that the problem was the organic component that sits in front of the screen – me! I kept interfering when I shouldn’t have, throwing away potentially winning trades in the process.

I had basically broken most of the 7 Golden Rules I had worked on for trading forex. What made me do that? Was it greed? There probably was an element of greed in there, but in my defence, I would say that was brought on by desperation. There was definitely a lack of patience involved; again this was probably prompted by desperation. I’ve no work, no income and a 6 year old daughter to provide for, let alone support.

Having had some time to think it through, I’m certainly not giving up on forex trading as a way of making an income. Going back through my actions this week, I figured if I stuck to my rules, I could well have finished this week over £50 up, even taking into account the bad start to the week.

So my plan is to pick up again at the end of this month or the beginning of May; again starting with £100. This time though, I have my rules stuck to the wall above the computer screen. Once I set up my trade, I will be putting my coat on and going out. If I’m not there, I can’t interfere can I. Until next time, stay happy folks. I still am.

Friday 1 April 2011

The SAS Trader : Friday Review. Going into the real world

Hello and welcome to today’s adventures in the Forex Jungle. This is the final virtual trial blog.

Well the virtual trial period has ended with a whimper. On logging in and checking the charts, I was confronted with mixed signals. The main 15 minute chart was indicating a climb in the pair, as was the 5 min chart. The 1 hour chart, however, was pointing in a southerly direction.

As the pair was trading above the daily pivot, I followed the 15 minute chart and entered a long @ 1.6065. As my confidence wasn’t 100%, I set a tight stop loss at 20 pips, and I was glad I had done so when I seen the price plummet just prior to the news release at 09:30. The plunge occurred 5 minutes before that! Just who is feeding who here!

As my weekend starts around lunchtime on Friday, I thought about a quick damage limitation trade, going short and following the data on the hourly chart. But sense took hold and I decided to take the knock on the chin. Like I said yesterday, it doesn’t really count anymore. It’s only virtual, and the account ended the trial at £925.00 (Damn!).

The system has proven itself as workable over the last 9 or 10 weeks. I’ve talked the talk, now it’s time to walk the walk. Let’s see what happens when it gets a proper run out in the real world starting Monday 4th April.
Until then, have a good day on the platform, and have a great weekend.